Market Dynamics
Zinc’s recurring drama plays out between mine and smelter. Mined concentrate and refined metal are separate markets, linked by treatment charges (TCs) that swing violently: when mine supply is tight, TCs collapse and smelters bleed cash — forcing production cuts like the European smelter closures during the 2021–22 energy crisis. Exchange inventories are thin relative to consumption, so the market is prone to squeezes despite unspectacular demand growth. Galvanizing demand tracks Chinese construction closely, giving zinc a similar macro profile to iron ore with a base-metal structure.